Top Tiql Tips: 6th to 9th March

Sharing tips like buddies do

To help you to earn more with TIQL we’re sharing this free guide to the markets and dates to watch this week. Economic news and announcements cause financial markets to move a lot, and may provide some opportunities to trade.

Remember, you can earn some extra cash by inviting people to trade with TIQL. The very first time someone you invite makes a deposit of $5 of more, you will receive $1. Whoever you invite also gets $1 USD to trade with; you can’t get better than that! You can keep earning as we pay you a percentage every time your supporters trade with TIQL.

Here are our predictions for data that could make trading news this week:​

4 Bank Rates to Rock the Week

If you like the roller coaster ride when banks make interest rate decisions, you’ve got a good week ahead with 4 major rates being set.

First to go is the Reserve Bank of Australia announcing its new Cash Rate (Tuesday 6th March 3.30am GMT). The Rate Statement, out at the same time, could have a few hidden gems but the 1.50% rate looks likely to stay the same.
The Bank of Canada releases its new Overnight Rate next (Wednesday 7th 3pm GMT). With the recent rise in January, not many expect any change so the accompanying Rate Statement will be where it’s at. Listen out for news on NAFTA – news about the trade agreement is having a noticeable effect on CAD at the moment.

Contending with the fallout from the Italian elections as populist parties gained strength, all EUR trading eyes switched to the ECB this week. The European Central Bank’s Minimum Bid Rate (Thursday 8th 12.45pm GMT) has stood at 0.00% since March 2016. A majority of opinion holds that it won’t change this month either. The Eurozone economy was looking strong at the start of the year but experienced some bumps in the PMIs last month. This month Trump’s tariff threats add little positive to the mix so keeping things stable is high on the agenda.

Japan closes the week for bank rates when the Bank of Japan shares its latest Policy Rate (Friday 9th March time to be confirmed). Held at -0.1% since September 2016 there have been murmurs about a change of position. The Policy Statement and Press Conference should be good for positions into the weekend.

AUD: 7 essential data traders need to know

It’s a busy week for AUD traders with a plethora of data to digest. Here are the 7 essential data traders need to manage if they’re serious about their Aussie dollar action.

The biggest news of the week is the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Cash Rate and Rate Statement (Tuesday 6th 12.30am GMT). The 1.50% rate has stood for 19 consecutive months and few people expect RBA Governor Lowe to break that status quo. Futures markets don’t see any rise this year, not even a teeny little 0.25% one. That makes things interesting when the general economy appears to be doing well but data suggests the Aussie consumer is heavily debt-laden.

The Rate Statement, out just after the Cash Rate, will have traders analysing every word for clues to the direction of future rate changes. RBA’s Governor, Rob Lowe, has a difficult path to navigate.

Not as significant as the Cash Rate, the Australian Current Account is actually the first major AUD event of the week (Tuesday 6th 12.30am GMT). It should set the tone for traders. With the deficit set to grow from -9.1B to -12.3B, it doesn’t look like a cause for celebration.

Retail Sales (Tuesday 6th 12.30am GMT) adds more curious detail to the complex Australian picture with predictions of a swing to growth from -0.5% to 0.4%. Closely correlated to the domestic economy this is either a positive sign of a a strengthening economy or another nail in the debt coffin of the average citizen.

RBA Governor Lowe will address the issue of the Changing Nature of Investment in Sydney, Australia (9.35pm GMT Wednesday 7th March). Coming so soon after the new Cash Rate traders will be looking for indications of what Lowe plans to do next.

GDP (Wednesday 7th 12.30am GMT) had expectations of growth downgraded to 0.5% from 0.6%. That would be the second shrinkage in a row and way off the 1.1% seen a year ago.

The Aussie Trade Balance is the final major data of the AUD week (Thursday 8th 12.30am GMT). Forecasts suggest a swing from -1.36B to 0.22B in the black. With a weak AUDUSD pairing this could change a few minds to a positive outlook for the Australian dollar.

Plenty of events this week should give Tiql’s AUD traders lots of action and could see widely differing opinions of the currency emerge.

USD: vital job figures (but not for farmers) and other key data

Are you excited? We’re excited. What a trading week we’ve got this week for USD and the cream of the crop is Non-Farm Employment Change (Friday 9th March 1.30pm GMT).

Recent months have seen employment levels go against predictions more times than Trump’s tweets have upset world leaders, so buckle up for a fun market ride this week. Standing at 200k pundits expect a rise to 204k. The domestic economy is the biggest influence on the dollar so finding out whether John Doe has a job matters.

Also big on the dollar calendar this week is ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Monday 3pm GMT) with a healthy 59.9 predicted to drop to 58.9. That’s still way above the 50 threshold between positive and negative outlooks.

And don’t forget your midweek oil news with Crude Oil Inventories (Wednesday 7th 3.30pm GMT). OPEC may be mostly sticking to its agreement to make cuts to shore up oil prices, but the US is having none of it. Last week saw an increase of 3.0M when analysts only forecast 2.4M and previous weeks have been in the black since mid-January apart from one minor blip two weeks back.

Here are the main news events to look out for this week:

    • Tue Mar 06
      • 18:15:00 GMT GBP MPC Member Haldane Speaks
      • 21:35:00 GMT AUD RBA Gov Lowe Speaks
    • Wed Mar 07
      • 00:30:00 GMT AUD GDP q/q
      • 13:15:00 GMT USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
      • 15:30:00 GMT USD Crude Oil Inventories
      • 15:00:00 GMT CAD BOC Rate Statement
      • 15:00:00 GMT CAD Overnight Rate
    • Thu Mar 08
      • 00:30:00 GMT AUD Trade Balance
      • 12:45:00 GMT EUR Minimum Bid Rate
      • 13:30:00 GMT EUR ECB Press Conference
      • 16:00:00 GMT CAD BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
      • 20:35:00 GMT CAD Gov Council Member Lane Sp
    • Fri Mar 09
      • 03:50:00 GMT JPY Monetary Policy Statement
      • 03:50:00 GMT JPY BOJ Policy Rate
      • 06:30:00 GMT JPY BOJ Press Conference
      • 09:30:00 GMT GBP Manufacturing Production m/m
      • 13:30:00 GMT USD Non-Farm Employment Change
      • 13:30:00 GMT USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m
      • 13:30:00 GMT USD Unemployment Rate

Some Markets to Watch…

BTCUSD: Bitcoin is pressured down as the market struggles to find fresh bullish catalysts to push it higher. We are currently trading within last week’s range. The key levels to watch are 12000 and 9000 as we go into the week.


USDJPY: We are still trading below a key zone and there is some clear trading space to 101. For now, this looks bullish on daily closes above 108 and bearish below 106. 101 remains a key area of interest for the bears.


Crude: Still in the range for now. Certainly a deeper correction is within reason. Right now the lines in the sand to watch are $61 and $64.


GBPUSD: The chart below says it all. We are trading at a key level here as you can see.

Whichever way you think these markets are going to go, you can trade these and other markets from as little as 1 cent with TIQL.

Markets can really move during news events; all TIQL trades come with guaranteed stops to always protect you from losing more than you have invested in a trade.

Deposit today from $5 with Skrill, Neteller, Paypal or Visa.
Good trading!

TIQL: Serious fun!

Play TIQL or follow us on Facebook or Twitter

TIQL is operated by Nous Global Limited, c/o ILS Fiduciaries (IOM) Ltd, First Floor, Millennium House, Victoria Road, Douglas, IM2 4RW, Isle of Man

Nous Global Limited is proud to be regulated by the Isle of Man Gambling Supervision Commission under a licence issued under the Online Gambling Regulation Act 2001 on 12 April 2016

Top Tiql Tips: 5th to 9th Feb

Helpful like a turtle

To help you to earn more with TIQL we’re giving you this free guide to the markets and dates to watch this week. Economic news and announcements cause financial markets to move a lot, and may provide some opportunities to trade.

Remember, you can earn some extra cash by inviting people to trade with TIQL. The very first time someone you invite makes a deposit of $5 of more, you will receive $1. Whoever you invite also gets $1 USD to trade with; you can’t get better than that! You can keep earning as we pay you a percentage every time your supporters trade with TIQL.

AUD & NZD: where will bank rates go this week?

Opinions are divided over what the Reserve Bank of Australia should do when it shares its latest Cash Rate (Tuesday 6th February 3.30am GMT). Rates haven’t changed since they dropped a quarter of a percentage point in August 2016 and Dr Lowe, RBA Governor, is on record saying they will stay low for years. Some suggest they may even drop as low as 1% but will anything change on Tuesday 6th?

There are some striking similarities between the British and Australian economies at the moment. If you look at them in a certain light, it seems as though they’re doing well. But when you take a closer look, stagnant wages, rising household debt and problems in the housing market make the wider economy seem more like it’s ready to topple at any moment, according to some analysts.

While debt levels remain rather high and wages low, the Bank will remain cautious about making changes that could trigger rising inflation. Traders are likely to be very interested in the Rate Statement (3.30am GMT Tuesday 6th February). Here, the Bank rate committee’s reasons for their decision should reveal where the bank thinks the economy will go next and that could send AUD on a bumpy ride.

Hop over to trade the New Zealand dollar (Wednesday 7th 8pm GMT) for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Official Cash Rate, Rate Statement and Press Conference. Unchanged since November 2016, there is little sign things will shift this month either. Some radical analysts, such as Eurasia Group in New York, forecast a global crash this year and suggest the NZD will be one of the hardest hit if that happens, but others say all the data received before Christmas points to a reasonably healthy economy. Whatever happens, the Press Conference is likely to give NZD traders some action.

CAD: can employment highs stick around?

Canada is one of many major economies with unemployment figures that haven’t been this good for decades. But that might all be about to change.

December’s 62% employment rate was creeping towards the record high of 2008 (63.70%). It stands far above the average from 1976 to 2017 of 60.29%. Many would say this shows strength in the economy. However, analysts forecast that figures for Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate will show a drop of around 2k for in employment and a rise in the Unemployment Rate of 0.1% (Friday 9th 1.30pm GMT) . Not great news for the Loonie, especially when the NAFTA discussions look set to drag on and Trudeau’s policies are being criticised for their effect on the competitiveness of Canada’s economy.

If you’re planning to trade CAD this week, also watch Crude Oil Inventories closely (3.30pm GMT Wednesday 7th) and plan your strategy around the employment data out on Friday. Have fun!

GBP: confusing times for a bank rate announcement

The Bank of England Inflation Report will focus attention (Thursday 8th February 12 noon). Many pundits will hope to see a further reduction in inflation to justify last year’s 0.5% rate set in November. But recent UK factory PMI data suggests the opposite might happen and inflation could rise again. What on earth is going on?

The British economy is suffering an odd mix of rising inflation, rising household debt, depressed wages and low unemployment. If you were to consult an economics textbook, many experts would say this doesn’t happen and it’s certainly scuttled the government’s economic forecasts. Unless wages rise to combat debt, received wisdom says the Bank can’t consider increasing interest rates. But with inflation still standing above target at 3% in December, something needs to happen. There seems to be no good way to jump for Mark Carney, Bank of England Chairman. We are definitely getting out the popcorn for this one.

This week also brings the latest MPC Bank Rate Votes, Monetary Policy Summary and Official Bank Rate (Thursday 8th February 12 noon). There is a small chance of a surprise rate rise but this could spell disaster for UK workers. Some might say “I told you so” but that wouldn’t be helpful. Mark Carney has a tightrope to walk this week. Will he manage it?

Here are the main news events to look out for this week:

  • Mon Feb 05
    16:00:00 GMT EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks
    15:00:00 GMT USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
  • Tue Feb 06
    00:30:00 GMT AUD Retail Sales m/m
    00:30:00 GMT AUD Trade Balance
    03:30:00 GMT AUD RBA Rate Statement
    03:30:00 GMT AUD Cash Rate
    21:45:00 GMT NZD Employment Change q/q
    21:45:00 GMT NZD Unemployment Rate
  • Wed Feb 07
    15:30:00 GMT USD Crude Oil Inventories
    20:00:00 GMT NZD Official Cash Rate
    20:00:00 GMT NZD RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement
    20:00:00 GMT NZD RBNZ Rate Statement
    1:00:00 GMT NZD RBNZ Press Conference
  • Thu Feb 08
    00:00:00 GMT NZD RBNZ Gov Spencer Speaks
    09:00:00 GMT AUD RBA Gov Lowe Speaks
    12:00:00 GMT GBP Official Bank Rate
    12:00:00 GMT GBP Monetary Policy Summary
    12:00:00 GMT GBP BOE Inflation Report
    12:00:00 GMT GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
  • Fri Feb 09
    09:30:00 GMT GBP Manufacturing Production m/m
    00:30:00 GMT AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement
    13:30:00 GMT CAD Employment Change
    13:30:00 GMT CAD Unemployment Rate

Some Markets to Watch…

Bitcoin: The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has depreciated by 12 percent in the last 24 hours, according to data source CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin has traded at new 2018 lows today. There may be more pain in store for crypto bulls or it could confound the greatest amount of participants and begin to climb again. The chart below highlights some possible areas of interest for traders.

Gold: The recent highs of 1375 still look achievable but it would be healthy for a market which has moved like this to retrace somewhat. The half way back near previous supply and the round number might be an interesting level to watch.

WTI Crude: Its all about the $65 level on this market. We are trading near some key chart structure at this level. As with Gold, it would be reasonable to think a market which has moved as impulsively as this one has would see some sort of retrace to remain healthy. The $54/$55 zone with the half way back and chart structure may be an interesting level to watch should we see some sort of move down.

Whichever way you think these markets are going to go, you can trade these and other markets from as little as 1 cent with TIQL.

Markets can really move during news events; all TIQL trades come with guaranteed stops to always protect you from losing more than you have invested in a trade.

Deposit today from $5 with Skrill, Neteller, Paypal or Visa.
Good trading!
TIQL: Serious fun!

Play TIQL or follow us on Facebook or Twitter

TIQL is operated by Nous Global Limited, c/o ILS Fiduciaries (IOM) Ltd, First Floor, Millennium House, Victoria Road, Douglas, IM2 4RW, Isle of Man

Nous Global Limited is proud to be regulated by the Isle of Man Gambling Supervision Commission under a licence issued under the Online Gambling Regulation Act 2001 on 12 April 2016

2 Bank Rate treats this week

Treat yourself

Bank Rates are like catnip for currency traders. They can’t get enough. The Press Conferences and Statements give a deep insight into the official view of the economy and offer invaluable views on the future direction of fiscal policy. This week we have two gems to trade.

Australia’s Reserve Bank reviews its Cash Rate monthly at 3.30am GMT on Tuesday 7th November.  Forecasts are for the current 1.50% to stay the same when it’s announced. The economy seems to be doing well with higher non-mining investment and increasing employment. However, stagnant wages and rising household debt levels are concerning and could explain recent poor retail sales. The Rate Statement, also at 3.30am GMT 7th November, should give traders an insight into how the Bank’s Monetary Committee views this mixed bag.

Staying with the southern hemisphere, New Zealand’s Reserve Bank is also reviewing its Cash Rate this week, but we’ll wait until 8pm GMT on Wednesday 8th to hear what they’ve decided. While markets are happy that the nation’s political leadership has been settled, Ardern probably wasn’t their first pick and business confidence could be stronger. Market predict no change at 1.75%, but the Press Conference at 9pm GMT is one to watch.

Free market guide: 26th to 29th September

Whose is bigger?

Economic news and announcements cause financial markets to move a lot, and may provide some opportunities to trade. So, to help you to earn more with TIQL, we’re sharing this free guide to the markets and dates to watch this week.

Remember, you can earn some extra cash by inviting people to trade with TIQL. The very first time someone you invite makes a deposit of $5 of more, you will receive $1. Whoever you invite also gets $1 USD to trade with; you can’t get better than that! You can keep earning as we pay you a percentage every time your supporters trade with TIQL. Get all the details here.

Elections: Who won and what do the markets think?
The weekend’s big election winners were Merkel and English. But for the markets, it all depends on who you talk to.

Some pundits have highlighted that NZD has dropped from a week ago amid fears of weeks of coalition talks with New Zealand First led by Winston Peters. Their tiny 9 seat party has a disproportionate amount of power under the New Zealand system. Other analysts are brushing it off saying the re-election of English means stability for the country, which the markets are going to like.

For the Euro, there has a been a sigh of relief as Merkel holds on to power for a fourth term. Widely seen as the new leader of the free world and with no other European leaders stepping up to vie for the top spot, it’s what the currency and its economic zone needed. Far-right election gains have been a worry here too, but they’re lagging behind in third place.

Anything involving a vote by the general public can cause unexpected havoc as Brexit and Trump proved last year so markets will likely react positively as it seems like business as usual.

GBP: the big interest rate question
When sterling dived after last year’s shock Brexit announcement, the Bank cut interest rates to a record 0.25% but it finally looks like a rise is on the cards . The reason so many see a rate rise before the end of the year is that inflation is edging up to 3% despite stagnant wages and ey-watering levels of personal debt.

The Inflation Report Hearings (26th tbc) will be pounced on by market makers and traders alike as they try to price in their predictions. Keep an eye out for announcements. Current Account details (29th 8.30am GMT) will either have traders diving for their own Brexit or consolidating their GBP position.

NZD: Official Cash Rate
Many expect the Bank to keep things steady in the current climate, but some argue the weakening currency and gloomy outlook in housing and construction make a rise before the end of the quarter more certain. Standing at 1.75% many feel the exchange rate is going to be crucial for the future direction of the RBNZ Cash Rate (27th 8pm GMT).

NZD is a volatile currency that tends to react to global forces. Trump and Kim’s war of words will have cautious investors heading back to safer markets, while China’s economy is a hot topic of debate that could push the Kiwi dollar in a number of directions.

War: what is it good for?
The answer to this is obvious to most people. But not apparently Trump or Kim Jong Un who have amped up the verbal spat over the weekend making the threat of actual war loom large, especially over Japan. Unsurprisingly, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has called a snap election. If things are going nuclear and he gets stuck in the middle, he doesn’t want to be in the hot seat.

The markets don’t usually take kindly to the idea of war, but latest figures suggest they’re not taking it seriously. Stock indices and USD markets usually recognise the consequence of war is brutal and widespread so their lack of reaction to the exchange of threats is strange. Surprisingly, safe haven gold isn’t on the up, and the Dow and S&P500 don’t seem fazed.

If things do kick off then the infrastructure damage can massively impact a nation’s short-term economic viability, costing citizens and governments billions. And this means debt as rebuilding efforts must often be financed with cheap capital. Interest rates are usually suppressed to keep capital costs down and this decreases the value of the currency. Don’t forget that the complete uncertainty of war itself impacts markets on a day-to-day basis as well as the longer-term economic outlook.

If you’re interested in how the latest threat of war could affect the currencies, commodities and markets you play, then Trump’s Twitter feed needs to be on your radar along with Reuters and, of course, your Tiql updates.

Here are the main news events to look out for this week:​

  • Tuesday 26th September
    14:00:00 GMT USD CB Consumer Confidence
    16:45:00 GMT USD Fed Chair Yellen Speaks
  • Wednesday 27th September
    12:30:00 GMT USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
    14:30:00 GMT USD Crude Oil Inventories
    15:45:00 GMT CAD BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
    20:00:00 GMT NZD Official Cash Rate
    20:00:00 GMT NZD RBNZ Rate Statement
  • Thursday 28th September
    06:35:00 GMT JPY BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks
    08:15:00 GMT GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks
    12:30:00 GMT USD Final GDP q/q
    12:30:00 GMT USD Unemployment Claims
  • Friday 29th September
    08:30:00 GMT GBP Current Account
    12:30:00 GMT CAD GDP m/m
    14:15:00 GMT EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks
    14:45:00 GMT GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks

Some Markets to Watch…

BTCUSD: Bitcoin is still caught in the range between $3500 and $4000. This market needs to clear $4100 to get some momentum behind it for the bulls. Any closes below $3500 and we may see a deeper correction to the recent low at $2980 to shake out the week longs.

GBPUSD: We are trading near a key resistance level and top of a parallel channel. A retrace here and the next key level for the bulls is 1.3250. News out this week could see this pair move.

Gold: The shiny metal has found support at the old broken resistance. Buyers have not come in strongly at this point so far; any daily closes below 1294 and we may see a deeper retracement to the 61.8 fib and chart structure around 1264.

Crude Oil: A symmetrical pattern may be playing out here which could see crude testing the 54/55 zone. We’ve broken through resistance and found some buyers above $50. Both $54 and $55 have strong supply candles and we may see the longs cover here and shorts get involved.

Whichever way you think these markets are going to go, you can trade these and other markets from as little as 1 cent with TIQL.

Markets can really move during news events; all TIQL trades come with guaranteed stops to always protect you from losing more than you have invested in a trade.

Deposit today from $5 with Skrill, Neteller, Paypal or Visa.
Good trading!

TIQL: Serious fun!

Play TIQL or follow us on Facebook or Twitter

TIQL is operated by Nous Global Limited, c/o ILS Fiduciaries (IOM) Ltd, First Floor, Millennium House, Victoria Road, Douglas, IM2 4RW, Isle of Man

Nous Global Limited is proud to be regulated by the Isle of Man Gambling Supervision Commission under a licence issued under the Online Gambling Regulation Act 2001 on 12 April 2016

It’s Kiwi time

But not just for some vitamin C, though that is important. No, this Kiwi time is all about the money. Currency traders will not be too alarmed by Monday 7th’s 2.1% Inflation Expectations report, down just 0.1% from last quarter. This is the current public expectation of how the price of goods and services will change over the next two years. So it looks fairly steady as she goes for the New Zealand dollar.

Wednesday’s Official Cash Rate at 10pm GMT is accompanied by the RBNZ Rate Statement and RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement. But more interesting for day traders will be the 11pm GMT RBNZ Press Conference. Then at 2.10am on Thursday 10th Governor Wheeler speaks at Finance and Expenditure Select Committee. These two events could lead some traders and market makers to change their stance depending on what is said making Wednesday and Thursday a good time to play.